Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +23 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -35.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -36.8 (-13.8) | 136.6 (-17.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -36.2 (-13.2) | 140.4 (-21.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -25.4 (-2.4) | 138.4 (-19.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -26.8 (-3.8) | 135.9 (-16.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | TCU 93 – 74 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#60) | -21.0 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#167) | -1.22 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#175) | -1.89 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#191) | 0.444 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 33.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 37.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 63.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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