Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.0 Over |
| Money | WRST +130 HOF -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -8.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -5.7 (-3.3) | 152.9 (+8.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -6.2 (-2.8) | 156.0 (+5.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.1 (-3.9) | 154.7 (+6.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.9 (-3.1) | 153.4 (+7.6) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#237) | 5.5 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#185) | -0.39 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#161) | -0.36 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#74) | 0.537 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 11.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.7% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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