Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +170 PRIN -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +20 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -8.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -11.1 (-8.9) | 135.5 (-3.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -7.4 (-12.6) | 138.6 (-6.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -7.4 (-12.6) | 139.0 (-7.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -7.9 (-12.1) | 137.0 (-5.0) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-2 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#171) | 16.3 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#287) | 4.31 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#290) | 6.62 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.253 (#354) | 0.786 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 7.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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