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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–7 on winners spread MAE 6.5 50 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Saint Joseph's @ Kentucky	+14.6	148.1	88%	88–96	✓
Howard @ Bryant	+6.3	147.4	74%	61–67	✓
Delaware State @ NJIT	-0.6	136.9	44%	72–81	✗
Sam Houston @ Troy	—	—	—	88–86	—
North Carolina Central @ Campbell	+1.9	128.9	44%	78–75	✗
UMass Lowell @ Saint Peter's	-0.6	125.3	48%	69–61	✓
Southern Indiana @ Bucknell	+3.1	136.7	60%	56–67	✓
Charleston Southern @ Bethune-Cookman	—	—	—	73–79	—
UConn @ Texas	-5.7	143.8	28%	81–71	✓
Buffalo @ Hofstra	—	—	—	68–102	—
Utah State @ Akron	-2.2	144.1	39%	65–62	✓
Central Arkansas @ Southeast Missouri State	+4.1	142.7	66%	68–70	✓
Colorado @ Richmond	-0.9	145.3	51%	64–59	✓
South Carolina State @ Tulsa	+16.7	147.1	89%	70–90	✓
Oregon @ Florida A&M	-12.5	148.9	14%	67–54	✓
UTSA @ Houston Christian	-4.4	164.7	24%	89–87	✓
Stonehill @ East Texas A&M	+13.1	148.8	86%	86–97	✓
New Orleans @ Oklahoma State	—	—	—	68–96	—
UCF @ Charlotte	-0.4	126.6	46%	74–71	✓
SMU @ West Virginia	-1.4	138.5	40%	70–58	✓
Abilene Christian @ Missouri State	+1.1	135.1	56%	69–87	✓
Green Bay @ Montana State	+11.7	131.0	72%	54–53	✗
Navy @ San Diego	+9.1	130.0	83%	59–67	✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Santa Clara	+21.1	134.6	90%	39–81	✓
Bradley @ Tulane	-1.0	154.2	48%	80–77	✓
North Dakota @ Pacific	+2.6	148.6	56%	73–71	✗
UCLA @ Marquette	+6.6	138.7	77%	69–71	✓
UTEP @ California	-3.3	140.5	38%	75–72	✓
Long Beach State @ Iona	-2.1	144.2	41%	80–76	✓
Loyola Marymount @ Florida International	-4.3	144.4	30%	61–60	✓
Binghamton @ Sacred Heart	+2.9	146.6	62%	75–89	✓
Central Michigan @ Stetson	+4.4	136.1	73%	61–71	✓
Prairie View A&M @ Eastern Kentucky	—	—	—	76–64	—
UNC Wilmington @ App State	-5.4	147.5	31%	56–86	✗
Morgan State @ Radford	+11.1	140.0	84%	72–82	✓
McNeese @ Texas State	-5.2	130.1	37%	59–48	✓
Buffalo @ Louisiana	+10.1	144.8	80%	60–68	✓
Oakland @ Marshall	-0.0	144.7	52%	78–71	✓
Syracuse @ Gonzaga	+5.6	149.9	72%	57–76	✓
Georgia Southern @ Northeastern	+5.9	139.9	73%	76–93	✓
Northern Colorado @ Chicago State	-1.3	133.7	44%	78–77	✓
Florida State @ Colorado	+2.7	151.7	52%	77–71	✗
Southern Utah @ Louisiana Tech	+8.2	137.1	81%	53–67	✓
North Carolina Central @ The Citadel	+1.7	129.8	56%	61–67	✓
Illinois State @ High Point	+1.3	143.7	65%	72–74	✓
Drake @ Akron	+0.7	140.1	53%	79–59	✗
James Madison @ Southern Illinois	-1.7	156.2	41%	82–76	✓
Kennesaw State @ East Carolina	+1.8	155.2	67%	84–85	✓
Indiana State @ Rice	-9.8	154.4	23%	103–88	✓
UNLV @ Richmond	+4.7	140.0	70%	65–82	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.