Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +1400 ORE -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +13 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -10.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -12.5 (-0.5) | 148.9 (-27.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -8.1 (-4.9) | 145.5 (-24.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -8.7 (-4.3) | 149.2 (-28.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -10.9 (-2.1) | 150.5 (-29.5) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | ORE 80 – 45 FAMU |
| Dec 10, 2020 | ORE 87 – 66 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 4-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#341) | 7.7 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#253) | 2.22 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#245) | 4.27 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#114) | 0.772 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 48.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 11.5% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 11.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 50.9% | 83.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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