Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -28.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -7000 FAMU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +21 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -17.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -14.6 (+6.4) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -16.0 (+5.0) | 142.0 (+11.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -15.3 (+5.7) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2023 | ORE 67 – 54 FAMU |
| Nov 8, 2022 | ORE 80 – 45 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#29) | -0.7 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#34) | -1.39 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#17) | -2.39 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#55) | 0.299 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 84.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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