Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–13 on winners spread MAE 9.5 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina @ Grand Canyon +3.9 142.6 65% 75–68 ✗
Xavier @ Saint Mary's -4.9 132.6 31% 66–49 ✓
Florida International @ Akron — — — 71–77 —
Brown @ USC +11.9 145.2 84% 70–81 ✓
Southern @ Illinois +10.3 148.6 87% 60–88 ✓
Cal Poly @ California Baptist +8.6 132.7 80% 58–67 ✓
UCF @ South Dakota State -11.6 142.1 14% 83–80 ✓
Kent State @ Missouri State -3.8 147.5 31% 52–56 ✗
Saint Louis @ Wichita State +2.9 147.2 58% 69–88 ✓
Dayton @ Houston +9.2 127.7 82% 55–69 ✓
Washington @ San Diego State +6.1 148.4 73% 97–100 ✓
Le Moyne @ UC Santa Barbara — — — 72–96 —
High Point @ Iona — — — 82–68 —
Oakland @ Loyola Marymount +0.5 146.8 47% 74–69 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Southern Miss +4.1 131.6 60% 74–67 ✗
Siena @ Central Michigan +2.7 134.4 61% 56–70 ✓
Norfolk State @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.0 135.9 62% 69–66 ✗
Murray State @ UNC Wilmington — — — 81–83 —
Drake @ Stephen F. Austin +0.1 148.4 53% 68–92 ✓
Illinois State @ Long Beach State +8.0 144.2 73% 61–52 ✗
Milwaukee @ Stetson -0.3 141.9 55% 67–85 ✗
Cornell @ Utah Valley -2.8 145.1 35% 74–61 ✓
Tennessee @ Syracuse -9.5 144.9 22% 73–56 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal State Bakersfield -4.4 136.7 45% 71–75 ✗
Northeastern @ Kennesaw State -2.9 152.2 52% 77–79 ✗
San José State @ Hampton -10.4 142.6 18% 71–52 ✓
The Citadel @ Idaho State +1.7 129.8 45% 62–61 ✗
Indiana @ Louisville -3.1 145.4 33% 74–66 ✓
Purdue @ Gonzaga — — — 73–63 —
Wright State @ Louisiana +6.4 151.9 70% 91–85 ✗
Marshall @ Florida International -2.2 146.5 42% 80–69 ✓
Tarleton State @ Austin Peay -4.8 129.1 23% 66–59 ✓
Florida State @ UNLV -1.0 144.6 37% 83–75 ✓
Fordham @ Kent State +8.5 144.3 83% 72–79 ✓
Wisconsin @ Virginia +6.0 126.8 67% 65–41 ✗
South Dakota State @ George Mason +9.6 135.8 82% 71–73 ✓
Georgia Southern @ East Carolina +8.3 142.6 79% 64–82 ✓
Morehead State @ Bellarmine +3.0 139.0 60% 64–51 ✗
Rider @ Stony Brook +1.9 131.9 67% 48–55 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.