Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -111 NE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NE -7.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -2.9 (+4.9) | 152.2 (+3.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -5.2 (+7.2) | 150.7 (+5.3) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -5.9 (+7.9) | 150.5 (+5.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -5.5 (+7.5) | 149.5 (+6.5) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#305) | 0.3 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#182) | 0.87 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#196) | 1.37 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#286) | 0.580 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 37.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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