Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–10 on winners spread MAE 10.1 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Navy @ UC San Diego +8.2 137.2 79% 55–73 ✓
Elon @ Holy Cross -1.3 146.0 41% 83–69 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ California Baptist +8.2 128.5 69% 62–66 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Santa Clara +19.6 145.1 90% 63–65 ✓
Jacksonville State @ North Alabama +5.4 140.1 74% 59–61 ✓
Texas Southern @ Creighton +28.6 142.8 91% 50–82 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +6.4 162.2 63% 100–81 ✗
Northern Colorado @ New Mexico State — — — 71–76 —
Morgan State @ BYU +28.2 157.3 91% 50–93 ✓
Portland @ Nevada +19.8 153.9 89% 83–108 ✓
Wyoming @ Furman +5.0 148.4 67% 78–71 ✗
Oakland @ Drake — — — 77–85 —
Southern Miss @ Utah Valley — — — 65–67 —
Holy Cross @ IU Indianapolis -1.0 134.7 43% 74–61 ✓
Providence @ Georgia -4.0 140.0 34% 71–64 ✓
North Texas @ Towson -1.3 118.7 50% 65–39 ✓
UConn @ Indiana -13.5 149.2 15% 77–57 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ South Alabama +0.8 136.0 66% 74–86 ✓
UT Martin @ Prairie View A&M — — — 66–78 —
Manhattan @ Central Connecticut — — — 67–63 —
Eastern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +10.4 133.5 82% 64–76 ✓
Boise State @ Clemson — — — 68–85 —
Loyola Maryland @ UMBC +5.5 146.4 77% 79–94 ✓
Charleston @ Coastal Carolina -0.3 151.0 37% 80–72 ✓
Northwestern @ Mississippi State +5.2 127.2 67% 57–66 ✓
Weber State @ Colgate -4.9 129.0 33% 55–57 ✗
Grambling @ Iowa State +26.1 142.3 91% 37–92 ✓
Lindenwood @ William & Mary +6.7 145.6 74% 71–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Stephen F. Austin +5.4 150.9 70% 76–86 ✓
Little Rock @ Georgia State +5.7 155.9 74% 77–88 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Chattanooga +18.0 138.7 89% 63–68 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cincinnati +11.4 142.2 86% 66–90 ✓
Queens University @ Drexel +7.4 134.0 74% 52–62 ✓
Northeastern @ East Carolina +5.4 139.4 64% 82–76 ✗
UAlbany @ Quinnipiac +5.2 150.6 81% 82–85 ✓
Kansas State @ Miami +3.7 156.9 60% 83–91 ✓
Elon @ Winthrop +5.0 147.2 73% 70–78 ✓
Cornell @ Cal State Fullerton -10.0 143.6 18% 88–70 ✓
LSU @ Wake Forest +2.1 140.7 49% 86–80 ✗
Yale @ Gardner-Webb -5.0 134.2 31% 71–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Washington State +6.9 141.9 77% 57–78 ✓
Texas @ Louisville -13.9 144.9 15% 81–80 ✓
Omaha @ Air Force +9.0 135.9 81% 56–58 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ohio State +15.7 139.0 88% 56–73 ✓
DePaul @ San Francisco +5.7 133.8 74% 54–70 ✓
American University @ Georgetown +9.3 140.5 81% 83–88 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Georgia Southern — — — 96–92 —
Wofford @ Virginia Tech +14.9 155.3 88% 76–98 ✓
Marshall @ Utah State +2.7 152.6 63% 60–83 ✓
Northern Iowa @ South Florida — — — 65–74 —
Charlotte @ George Mason +0.7 123.9 50% 54–49 ✗
Portland State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota -8.5 121.2 30% 70–76 ✗
Vermont @ Liberty +6.4 134.0 75% 61–71 ✓
Fordham @ Abilene Christian +0.5 140.9 52% 45–59 ✓
UT Arlington @ Arizona +24.9 152.0 90% 56–101 ✓
Alcorn State @ Michigan State +17.9 143.4 88% 49–81 ✓
Jackson State @ Missouri +17.4 140.4 87% 73–72 ✗
St. John's @ Utah +9.5 147.4 78% 91–82 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.