Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Missouri State Bears
56 – 52
FINAL Neutral Paradise Jam
Kent State Golden Flashes
UVI Sports & Fitness Center (Neutral) · November 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -4.0 Home covered
O/U 137.0 Under
Money MOST +158 / KENT -190
Model Predictions
Spread Total MOST win
Actual MOST +4 108 Won
Massey KENT -3.5 (+7.5) — —
Massey Totals — 154.4 (-46.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 12% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -3.8 (+7.8) 147.5 (-39.5) 31% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -2.8 (+6.8) 147.1 (-39.1) 36% ✗
Baseline ML KENT -2.6 (+6.6) 149.5 (-41.5) 35% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENT -1.5 (+5.5) 149.1 (-41.1) 34% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MOST KENT
Overall 17-16 17-17
Conference 8-12 8-10
Home 9-5 9-6
Away 4-10 4-9
Neutral 4-1 4-2
Last 5 2-1 2-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.2 73.8
Avg Pts Against 71.3 72.0
Massey 3.5 (#106) 7.0 (#61)
Bradley-Terry -0.68 (#234) 0.29 (#155)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.46 (#266) 0.52 (#149)
RPI 0.380 (#298) 0.612 (#60)
Shooting & Four Factors MOST KENT
FG% 44.8% 47.5%
3PT% 38.5% 42.0%
REB / G 36.0 37.3
OREB / G 7.0 12.0
AST / TO 1.34 1.46
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.4% 56.1%
TOV% 15.6% 15.4%
ORB% 21.6% 31.9%
FT Rate 15.5% 32.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.6% 56.6%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 20.9%
DRB% 71.9% 78.4%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 27.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.