Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SFA +120 DRKE -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +24 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -2.3 (+21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -3.2 (+20.8) | 149.4 (+10.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -3.4 (+20.6) | 148.4 (+11.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -3.8 (+20.2) | 147.0 (+13.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -2.0 (+22.0) | 148.4 (+11.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | DRKE 66 – 51 SFA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 16-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#27) | 8.2 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#113) | 1.52 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#113) | 2.21 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#174) | 0.646 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.7% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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