Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UVU +188 COR -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +13 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -5.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -2.8 (-10.2) | 145.1 (-10.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.0 (-10.0) | 147.4 (-12.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.7 (-9.3) | 148.0 (-13.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -3.2 (-9.8) | 147.8 (-12.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#138) | 7.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#32) | 1.89 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#30) | 2.65 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#124) | 0.536 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 79.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.