Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | STET +145 MILW -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +18 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -0.4 (+18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -0.3 (+18.3) | 141.9 (+10.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -0.2 (+17.8) | 142.9 (+9.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -0.4 (+18.4) | 143.9 (+8.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -1.0 (+19.0) | 139.8 (+12.2) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2023 | MILW 87 – 83 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#244) | -3.3 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#268) | -0.94 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#293) | -1.39 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#238) | 0.508 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 16.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 26.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 8.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 60.9% | 59.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.9% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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