Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +120 STET -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | STET -2.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.3 (+6.3) | 155.5 (+14.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -2.5 (+6.5) | 157.8 (+12.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -2.5 (+6.5) | 156.6 (+13.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -2.0 (+6.0) | 155.9 (+14.1) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2023 | STET 85 – 67 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#229) | -0.4 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#171) | 0.30 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#184) | 0.29 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#129) | 0.517 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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