Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ECU -700 GASO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +18 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -13.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -8.3 (+9.7) | 142.6 (+3.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -9.1 (+8.9) | 152.8 (-6.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -8.4 (+9.6) | 153.4 (-7.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -10.6 (+7.4) | 150.8 (-4.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2025 | ECU 92 – 89 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#296) | -11.9 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#342) | -2.24 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#332) | -3.14 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.313 (#338) | 0.197 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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