Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -1000 UNO +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +28 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -1.7 (+26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -3.5 (+24.5) | 137.6 (+26.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -4.3 (+23.7) | 136.3 (+27.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -4.3 (+23.7) | 136.8 (+27.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#274) | 1.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#315) | -1.76 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#272) | -2.83 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#318) | 0.271 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 10.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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