Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -175 UND +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -4.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.6 (-4.6) | 148.6 (-4.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -3.2 (-5.2) | 144.0 (-0.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -3.2 (-5.2) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -2.3 (-4.3) | 146.9 (-2.9) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | PAC 93 – 63 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 0-16 | 10-6 |
| Home | 5-12 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L23 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#330) | -5.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#231) | 0.02 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#237) | -0.29 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#171) | 0.554 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 18.9% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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