Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | AKR +105 DRKE -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +20 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -0.3 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -0.7 (-20.7) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -0.5 (-20.5) | 143.8 (-5.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -0.5 (-20.5) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -0.3 (-19.7) | 144.4 (-6.4) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 16-4 |
| Home | 13-1 | 16-0 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#113) | 3.7 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#63) | 0.73 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#78) | 1.09 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#254) | 0.572 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 62.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.