Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -280 FSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -1.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.1 (-6.1) | 154.8 (-6.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | COLO -3.1 (-9.1) | 152.0 (-4.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | COLO -0.9 (-6.9) | 151.7 (-3.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.8 (-6.8) | 153.5 (-5.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 22, 2021 | FSU 71 – 53 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#49) | 6.0 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#139) | 1.03 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#159) | 1.06 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#228) | 0.672 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.7% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 51.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.5% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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