Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -280 FSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -1.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.9 (-6.9) | 152.5 (-4.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -2.7 (-8.7) | 151.7 (-3.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -0.0 (-6.0) | 155.0 (-7.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.7 (-6.7) | 153.6 (-5.6) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 22, 2021 | FSU 71 – 53 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#49) | 6.0 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#139) | 1.03 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#159) | 1.06 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#228) | 0.672 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.7% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 51.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.5% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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