Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FSU +100 COLO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +18 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -2.1 (+20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -2.4 (+20.4) | 138.2 (-14.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.9 (+18.9) | 133.7 (-9.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -2.6 (+20.6) | 135.6 (-11.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -2.5 (+20.5) | 135.4 (-11.4) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2023 | FSU 77 – 71 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#20) | 16.2 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#23) | 2.48 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#27) | 3.28 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#35) | 0.592 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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