Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -20000 MVSU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +42 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -25.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -21.1 (+20.9) | 134.6 (-14.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -16.7 (+25.3) | 138.9 (-18.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -21.7 (+20.3) | 140.5 (-20.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -25.5 (+16.5) | 139.4 (-19.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 1-30 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-4 | 1-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-22 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 55.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#130) | -14.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#13) | -1.19 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.61 (#16) | -1.79 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#66) | 0.516 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 37.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 61.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 54.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.