Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -120 USI +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -7.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -5.2 (+5.8) | 135.4 (-12.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -5.6 (+5.4) | 136.9 (-13.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -4.4 (+6.6) | 137.4 (-14.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -3.1 (+7.9) | 136.7 (-13.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | BUCK 75 – 69 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-10 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#311) | -7.5 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#239) | -4.01 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#259) | -6.76 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#209) | 0.372 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 12.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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