Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | USI +140 BUCK -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -14.2 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -5.4 (-11.4) | 149.5 (-5.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -3.6 (-9.6) | 148.6 (-4.6) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2023 | BUCK 67 – 56 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#49) | 8.9 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#239) | 2.43 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#147) | 3.56 (#2) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 52.7% |
| 3PT% | 42.9% | 52.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 61.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 81.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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