Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -275 UCLA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -12.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -6.6 (-4.6) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -7.1 (-5.1) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -8.1 (-6.1) | 137.0 (+3.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -6.5 (-4.5) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | UCLA 67 – 56 MARQ |
| Dec 12, 2020 | UCLA 69 – 60 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#12) | 2.5 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#7) | 0.54 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.04 (#8) | 0.69 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.724 (#11) | 0.429 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 12.0% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 39.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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