Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -225 MARQ +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -11.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -5.9 (+3.1) | 142.5 (-13.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -9.2 (-0.2) | 144.7 (-15.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -9.4 (-0.4) | 144.7 (-15.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -9.0 (+0.0) | 146.4 (-17.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2023 | MARQ 71 – 69 UCLA |
| Dec 12, 2021 | UCLA 67 – 56 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 8-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#45) | 4.1 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#37) | 0.71 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#41) | 1.13 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#37) | 0.529 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 42.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 35.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 39.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.