Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | IONA +175 LBSU -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -6.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -2.1 (-1.9) | 144.2 (+11.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -3.9 (-0.1) | 145.0 (+11.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -3.6 (-0.4) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -3.2 (-0.8) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#197) | 5.0 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#255) | 1.20 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#233) | 2.35 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.305 (#347) | 0.543 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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