Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -900 SYR +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +19 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -5.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -5.6 (+13.4) | 149.9 (-16.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -3.1 (+15.9) | 147.0 (-14.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -2.6 (+16.4) | 148.9 (-15.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -3.0 (+16.0) | 151.9 (-18.9) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#80) | 0.1 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#125) | 1.39 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#105) | 1.94 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#29) | 0.635 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.