Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
| Money | COLU -800 LIU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -20.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -13.8 (-3.8) | 147.1 (-3.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -13.6 (-3.6) | 145.8 (-1.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -12.7 (-2.7) | 144.9 (-0.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -12.2 (-2.2) | 146.1 (-2.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | COLU 80 – 72 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#200) | -13.7 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#148) | -2.98 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#137) | -5.36 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#162) | 0.341 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 38.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 17.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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