Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +550 COLU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -0.2 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -0.1 (-8.1) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -0.4 (-8.4) | 148.8 (+3.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -0.9 (-8.9) | 146.6 (+5.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -2.2 (-5.8) | 147.1 (+4.9) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | COLU 77 – 67 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 1-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#269) | 1.7 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#173) | 2.71 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#154) | 3.44 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#63) | 0.585 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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