Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP +225 UCI -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +16 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -4.6 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -2.6 (-13.4) | 143.1 (-7.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -3.0 (-13.0) | 144.0 (-8.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -3.3 (-12.7) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -2.9 (-13.1) | 146.8 (-10.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | UCI 80 – 62 PEPP |
| Nov 20, 2022 | PEPP 64 – 55 UCI |
| Nov 21, 2021 | UCI 82 – 48 PEPP |
| Nov 25, 2020 | PEPP 86 – 72 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-8 | 13-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#140) | 6.0 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#335) | 1.67 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.39 (#346) | 2.55 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#343) | 0.669 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 83.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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