Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +34 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -16.6 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -13.5 (+20.5) | 132.0 (-2.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -11.7 (+22.3) | 132.9 (-2.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.7 (+23.3) | 131.8 (-1.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.9 (+23.1) | 132.4 (-2.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | UCI 80 – 62 PEPP |
| Nov 22, 2023 | UCI 76 – 60 PEPP |
| Nov 20, 2022 | PEPP 64 – 55 UCI |
| Nov 25, 2020 | PEPP 86 – 72 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 1-15 |
| Home | 9-1 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-7 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#144) | -7.4 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#109) | 0.49 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#82) | 0.99 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#49) | 0.493 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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