Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -1400 CCSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +29 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -17.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -14.7 (+14.3) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -16.3 (+12.7) | 147.6 (+1.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -17.0 (+12.0) | 147.7 (+1.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -16.3 (+12.7) | 151.7 (-2.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | MASS 84 – 77 CCSU |
| Dec 5, 2024 | CCSU 73 – 69 MASS |
| Nov 8, 2022 | MASS 94 – 67 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#83) | -3.9 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#107) | -1.53 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#81) | -1.86 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#86) | 0.360 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.38 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 10.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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