Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -900 CCSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -10.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -4.2 (+2.8) | 137.4 (+23.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -8.0 (-1.0) | 133.0 (+28.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -10.3 (-3.3) | 134.2 (+26.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -8.6 (-1.6) | 136.1 (+24.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | CCSU 73 – 69 MASS |
| Nov 22, 2023 | MASS 89 – 60 CCSU |
| Nov 8, 2022 | MASS 94 – 67 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#182) | -3.1 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#213) | 1.13 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#198) | 0.52 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#296) | 0.493 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 32.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 37.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 12.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 11.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 9.4% |
Game Analysis
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