Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -600 CCSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -5.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.4 (-8.4) | 137.7 (+4.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -6.9 (-10.9) | 135.6 (+6.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -3.5 (-7.5) | 135.7 (+6.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.3 (-8.3) | 136.7 (+5.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | MASS 84 – 77 CCSU |
| Nov 22, 2023 | MASS 89 – 60 CCSU |
| Nov 8, 2022 | MASS 94 – 67 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-2 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#210) | -3.4 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#263) | 0.00 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#239) | -0.56 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#279) | 0.510 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.7% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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