Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UTM -120 UNA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +2 | 208 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -9.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+67.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -6.7 (-4.7) | 146.9 (+61.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -6.3 (-4.3) | 139.9 (+68.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -5.9 (-3.9) | 138.6 (+69.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -4.9 (-2.9) | 140.0 (+68.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2024 | UNA 87 – 69 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#217) | -3.7 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#169) | 0.49 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#170) | 0.68 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#184) | 0.466 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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