Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UNA -500 UTM +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +18 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -10.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -13.9 (+4.1) | 134.3 (+21.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -9.0 (+9.0) | 140.9 (+15.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | UTM 105 – 103 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#53) | 7.4 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#35) | 2.87 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#32) | 3.98 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#106) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 51.7% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 50.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.17 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 9.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 15.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 6.9% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 35.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 81.2% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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