I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · November 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -1.5 Home covered
O/U 128.5 Under
Money CAM -110 / CIT +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +7 123 Won
Massey CAM -0.3 (+6.7)
Massey Totals 123.4 (-0.4)
Bradley-Terry 16%
Weighted B-T 6%
Baseline Plus ML CIT -0.5 (+7.5) 125.2 (-2.2) 45%
Baseline ML CAM -0.9 (+6.1) 125.1 (-2.1) 57%
Baseline Tuned ML CIT -0.3 (+7.3) 128.1 (-5.1) 42%
Efficiency Plus ML CAM -0.3 (+6.7) 128.0 (-5.0) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 13, 2024 CAM 8658 CIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM CIT
Overall 14-18 11-21
Conference 8-10 3-15
Home 11-6 7-7
Away 3-11 2-13
Neutral 0-1 2-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 69.0 68.6
Avg Pts Against 73.9 72.2
Massey -6.1 (#288) 1.2 (#146)
Bradley-Terry -2.86 (#348) 0.35 (#154)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.35 (#344) 0.55 (#160)
RPI 0.304 (#344) 0.528 (#148)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM CIT
FG% 43.2% 40.1%
3PT% 28.1% 31.5%
REB / G 33.0 35.0
OREB / G 8.0 10.4
AST / TO 0.61 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 46.5%
TOV% 23.5% 18.8%
ORB% 27.1% 29.2%
FT Rate 35.1% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.3% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 14.9%
DRB% 67.1% 77.4%
Opp FT Rate 14.2% 16.4%

Game Analysis

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