Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CIT -110 CAM -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +28 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -1.9 (-29.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.5 (-27.5) | 130.1 (+13.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -0.5 (-27.5) | 133.2 (+10.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -0.6 (-27.4) | 131.3 (+12.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -0.7 (-28.7) | 130.1 (+13.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | CAM 65 – 58 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-12 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L24 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#309) | -5.8 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#356) | -1.69 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.84 (#360) | -1.14 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#356) | 0.380 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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