Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | MILW -650 SIE +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -8.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -5.2 (-3.2) | 136.7 (-16.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -4.4 (-2.4) | 144.9 (-24.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -4.7 (-2.7) | 144.0 (-24.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -5.8 (-3.8) | 141.1 (-21.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-4 | 2-12 |
| Away | 6-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#304) | -15.6 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#300) | -1.74 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#307) | -3.24 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#278) | 0.338 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 28.1% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 61.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 59.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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