Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | PRES -225 TNTC +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -18.3 (-22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -11.3 (-15.3) | 141.2 (+12.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -12.1 (-16.1) | 141.8 (+12.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -12.1 (-16.1) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -9.8 (-13.8) | 138.1 (+15.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | TNTC 90 – 75 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#162) | -10.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#60) | -2.58 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#100) | -3.73 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#93) | 0.371 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 10.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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