Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC +120 PRES -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +15 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -0.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -0.3 (+15.3) | 139.3 (+25.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.6 (+14.4) | 139.1 (+25.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -1.0 (+14.0) | 138.8 (+26.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -2.5 (+17.5) | 136.6 (+28.4) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | TNTC 79 – 75 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#259) | 1.7 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#191) | 0.57 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#233) | 0.57 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#210) | 0.526 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 55.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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