We're volunteers of America. "Volunteers" - Jefferson Airplane
UAlbany Great Danes
62 59
FINAL Neutral Doc Sauers Classic
Army Black Knights
Cool Insuring Arena (Neutral) · November 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UALB -5.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money UALB -175 / ARMY +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total UALB win
Actual UALB +3 121 Won
Massey UALB -12.6 (-9.6)
Massey Totals 134.0 (-13.0)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML UALB -7.5 (-4.5) 134.5 (-13.5) 78%
Baseline ML UALB -9.6 (-6.6) 137.1 (-16.1) 80%
Baseline Tuned ML UALB -8.2 (-5.2) 136.3 (-15.3) 82%
Efficiency Plus ML UALB -7.7 (-4.7) 132.0 (-11.0) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 5, 2024 ARMY 6759 UALB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UALB ARMY
Overall 13-19 10-22
Conference 5-11 6-12
Home 7-5 6-11
Away 4-13 4-10
Neutral 2-1 0-1
Last 5 1-3 0-4
Streak L3 L5
Avg Pts For 78.0 59.9
Avg Pts Against 79.4 65.7
Massey -0.8 (#186) -13.4 (#352)
Bradley-Terry 1.30 (#76) -2.52 (#340)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.27 (#67) -3.50 (#333)
RPI 0.560 (#106) 0.331 (#334)
Shooting & Four Factors UALB ARMY
FG% 40.6% 35.1%
3PT% 33.0% 28.3%
REB / G 36.8 34.5
OREB / G 12.2 11.5
AST / TO 0.80 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.6% 42.4%
TOV% 19.2% 21.2%
ORB% 32.9% 28.6%
FT Rate 28.1% 10.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 11.5% 19.2%
DRB% 71.0% 80.7%
Opp FT Rate 31.3% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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