Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -500 TXSO +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -22.9 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -18.3 (-16.3) | 134.9 (-6.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -14.4 (-12.4) | 130.9 (-2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -15.3 (-13.3) | 131.7 (-3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -13.4 (-11.4) | 132.2 (-4.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | ORU 82 – 64 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#110) | -11.6 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#281) | -1.41 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#272) | -2.51 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#275) | 0.449 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 29.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 20.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 33.1% |
| TOV% | 11.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 17.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 9.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 59.3% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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