Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO +175 ORU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +18 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -5.2 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.5 (-18.5) | 144.0 (+2.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -3.2 (-21.2) | 146.1 (-0.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -4.1 (-22.1) | 146.5 (-0.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.2 (-20.2) | 146.9 (-0.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | ORU 65 – 63 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 18-0 |
| Home | 7-6 | 16-0 |
| Away | 3-13 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#277) | -0.1 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#169) | -0.46 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#192) | -0.53 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#74) | 0.594 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 30.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.45 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 39.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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