Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +105 DEL -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -11.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -6.8 (-1.2) | 136.3 (-10.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -9.1 (+1.1) | 141.7 (-15.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -8.8 (+0.8) | 140.6 (-14.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -8.5 (+0.5) | 138.9 (-12.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#245) | 7.4 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.84 (#359) | 2.36 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.60 (#357) | 3.15 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.307 (#347) | 0.600 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 43.6% |
| REB / G | 43.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
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