Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Islanders
68
–
83
FINAL
Neutral
NKU Thanksgiving Tournament
Long Island University
Sharks
Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -550 LIU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +15 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -9.4 (-24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.9 (-23.9) | 145.1 (+5.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -6.1 (-21.1) | 143.0 (+8.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -6.6 (-21.6) | 143.8 (+7.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -5.4 (-20.4) | 145.8 (+5.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#231) | -12.6 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#293) | -2.96 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#275) | -5.13 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#287) | 0.305 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 36.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 40.8% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.8% | 38.5% |
Game Analysis
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