Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | BUT -115 PSU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +10 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | BUT -2.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -0.1 (+10.1) | 145.4 (+20.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -1.5 (+8.5) | 141.7 (+24.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -0.8 (+9.2) | 141.9 (+24.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -0.5 (+9.5) | 144.3 (+21.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | PSU 68 – 62 BUT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#33) | 7.6 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#211) | 1.49 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#207) | 2.88 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#160) | 0.513 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 26.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.