Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PSU -275 BUT +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -9.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -6.4 (-0.4) | 149.8 (-19.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -9.9 (-3.9) | 148.2 (-18.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2023 | BUT 88 – 78 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#41) | 8.5 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#72) | 0.44 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#68) | 0.69 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.833 (#19) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.4% | 56.2% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 16.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.37 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 70.9% | 59.4% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 38.1% |
| DRB% | 86.9% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 9.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.