Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ASU +333 BYU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +28 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -21.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -13.0 (-15.0) | 138.4 (-12.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -12.8 (-15.2) | 139.0 (-13.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -15.0 (-13.0) | 142.6 (-16.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -13.7 (-14.3) | 137.7 (-11.7) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | BYU 104 – 76 ASU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BYU 91 – 81 ASU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | BYU 76 – 56 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 16-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#176) | 21.6 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#51) | 1.85 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#51) | 3.08 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#48) | 0.531 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 48.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 2.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 42.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 40.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 81.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 13.9% |
Game Analysis
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