Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -120 HALL +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -3.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -1.1 (+11.9) | 148.7 (+8.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -1.8 (+11.2) | 146.3 (+10.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -1.5 (+11.5) | 148.3 (+8.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -1.6 (+11.4) | 150.3 (+6.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2022 | IOWA 83 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 17-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#29) | 7.5 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#130) | 0.67 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#116) | 0.80 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#91) | 0.529 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 2.29 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 10.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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